摩根預(yù)測英格蘭隊(duì)是世界杯冠軍

　　England will finally win the World Cup after 44 years of pain if Cityboffinsare to be believed。

　　英國的金融業(yè)分析人士日前做出預(yù)測，英格蘭足球隊(duì)在歷經(jīng)44年的磨難后，將奪本屆世界杯的冠軍。

　　European champions Spain will be runners-up with the Netherlands winning the third place play-off, according to J.P. Morgan quantitative analysts who issued their findings on Tuesday ahead of the World Cup (June 11-July 11) kick-off。

　　今年的世界杯足球賽將于6月11日至7月11日舉行。摩根大通公司的數(shù)量分析專家于本周二發(fā)布預(yù)測結(jié)果稱，歐洲冠軍西班牙隊(duì)將獲得本屆世界杯的亞軍，荷蘭隊(duì)將獲季軍。

　　They predict world number one team Brazil will fall short in South Africa because of a tougher route through to the final than their main rivals。

　　據(jù)預(yù)測，世界排名第一的巴西隊(duì)在南非世界杯上恐怕無緣冠軍，因?yàn)榕c他們的主要競爭對手相比，巴西隊(duì)晉級決賽的道路更為艱難。

　　The quantitative analysts at J.P.Morgan used information such as FIFA ranking, historical results and its J.P.Morgan Team Strength Indicator to come up with a mathematical model to predict match results, they explained。

　　據(jù)介紹，摩根大通公司的數(shù)量分析專家通過分析國際足聯(lián)排名、歷史戰(zhàn)績以及摩根大通球隊(duì)實(shí)力指數(shù)等信息，得出了一個(gè)用來預(yù)測比賽結(jié)果的數(shù)學(xué)模型。

　　However, they warned "this report should be taken with a pinch of salt" and that it is an exercise to "light-heartedly explain quantitative techniques and demystifythe typical quant framework."

　　但他們同時(shí)提醒稱，“大家應(yīng)帶有保留地看待這一預(yù)測”，這是“用通俗的方式解釋數(shù)量分析法，讓數(shù)量分析框架淺顯化”的一次嘗試。

　　The analysts usually use these kind of mathematical models to help predict stock market winners with millions of dollars hanging on their calculations。

　　分析人士通常使用這類數(shù)學(xué)模型來幫助預(yù)測股市贏家，他們的計(jì)算結(jié)果常常關(guān)系到數(shù)百萬美元的資金運(yùn)作。

　　England last won football's biggest prize in 1966 when the Beatles topped the charts with Yellow Submarine and Harold Wilson was Prime Minister。

　　英格蘭隊(duì)上一次捧走大力神杯還是在1966年。當(dāng)年，披頭士樂隊(duì)的專輯《黃色潛水艇》橫掃各音樂排行榜，英國的當(dāng)政首相還是哈羅德 威爾遜。

　　In the latest official FIFA rankings, England were in eighth position and Spain were second。

　　在國際足聯(lián)最新排名中，英格蘭隊(duì)位居第八，西班牙隊(duì)位居第二。