On November 4th Chuck Prince left the boss's office at Citigroup, the world's largest bank. A week earlier, Stan O'Neal lost his job at Merrill Lynch after leading the investment bank to a loss with $8.4 billion of write-downs. However churlish you may feel about Wall Street's new axiom—“the higher they fly, the bigger the parachute”—the departure of two of America's most senior bankers in a week is a good sign. Accountability, after all, is a step towards clarity, and there are few more coveted resources in today's fog-strewn and stormy banking industry. Both departures were accompanied by revelations of much steeper losses from American subprime mortgages than either Citi or Merrill had owned up to just weeks before. That attempt at honesty may have spooked the market because it showed how unsure the banks remain about how to value their subprime-related assets, but that is no reason to shy away from such disclosures.
Coming clean will be difficult, because for the time being the disclosures have provided more questions than answers. First, just how much do banks stand to lose? The latest confessions show that a whole new constellation of credit instruments, known as collateralised-debt obligations (CDOs), are far less secure than had been assumed even at the end of September. These include supposedly impregnable “super-senior” and AAA-rated tranches of CDOs that a short time ago were prized by the world's banks, insurance companies and mutual funds. In some cases their values have shrunk to a sliver of their original price since a series of downgrades by rating agencies last month. Citi, one of the biggest issuers of such CDOs, estimated this week that the losses on CDOs and other assets at other banks could reach $64 billion—to which its own potential write-downs must be added.
Second, do banks have enough capital to survive the crisis? At some institutions, mounting losses are making the cushions of capital held for times of crisis look increasingly threadbare. Wall Street firms and European banks use a special accounting provision for securities they consider hardest to value, which appears mainly to involve educated guesswork. On Wall Street the amount of securities in this category has ballooned and could easily wipe out the big firms' core capital if they were written down to zero—which is improbable but no longer thought impossible. To make matters worse, bond insurers, which rate America's $2.5 trillion municipal-bond market, are also up to their necks in CDOs. They were told this week that they might lose their coveted AAA ratings unless their shareholders provide more capital, which would cast a cloud over municipal bonds.
Third, how hard might the broader economy be hit? The flimsier the banks' capital base, the less freely they can lend to firms and households, putting both consumer spending and corporate investment at risk. Already there is evidence that credit conditions are tightening well beyond the housing market. A survey this week found that American banks have been tightening lending standards on everything from mortgages to commercial property to business and industrial loans. In Europe, too, credit conditions have tightened. In Britain the withdrawal of a bid for J. Sainsbury, a supermarket chain, by a Qatari-backed investment group was the latest sign that life has almost been squeezed out of the buy-out business.
1. Chuck Prince left the boss's office at Citigroup probably because _____.
[A] he was afraid that he was unable to prevent the company from continuing steeper losses
[B] he found there were few more coveted resources in banking industry
[C] he had already led Citigroup into enormous losses
[D] he was forced to leave the position because of poor management
2. Wall Street's new axiom—“the higher they fly, the bigger the parachute” means that _____.
[A] the higher the bankers' position, the bigger loss they will make
[B] the higher the bankers' position, the more influential their backstage bosses
[C] the higher the bankers' position, the safer they will be
[D] the higher the bankers' position, the more risks they will face
3. Which one of the following statements is TRUE of CDOs?
[A] “Super-senior” and AAA-rated tranches of CDOs were affected the most.
[B] It was CDOs that played the major role of Citi's tremendous losses.
[C] The earlier expectation far exceeded the actual security of CDOs.
[D] CDOs led to the devaluation of many companies in banking industry.
4. The author thinks the special accounting provision for the hardest securities adopted by Wall Street firms and European banks _____.
[A] is mainly composed of various speculations
[B] is based on unreliable experience
[C] is a trick played around by educated accountants
[D] has big problems that threaten to swallow big companies' core capital
5. By the abortion of the bid for J. Sainsbury, the author intends to imply that _____.
[A] foreign investment group has smelled the danger of investing in America
[B] the other business is also affected by the impact of American subprime mortgages event
[C] Europe's credit conditions are also facing great danger as affected by American subprime mortgages event
[D] credit conditions in Europe have also tightened
1. Chuck Prince left the boss's office at Citigroup probably because _____.
[A] he was afraid that he was unable to prevent the company from continuing steeper losses
[B] he found there were few more coveted resources in banking industry
[C] he had already led Citigroup into enormous losses
[D] he was forced to leave the position because of poor management
1. Chuck Prince離開(kāi)了花旗銀行的總裁辦公室,可能是因?yàn)?_____。
[A] 他擔(dān)心自己不能夠阻擋公司持續(xù)大幅損失的趨勢(shì)
[B] 他發(fā)現(xiàn)銀行業(yè)中沒(méi)有什么值得垂涎的資源了
[C] 他已經(jīng)使得花旗銀行蒙受了巨大損失
[D] 由于管理較差,他被迫離開(kāi)了這個(gè)職位
答案:C 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆☆
分析:推理題。對(duì)于Chuck Prince的離職原因文章并沒(méi)有直接提及,但第一段一直將他和Stan O'Neal相提并論,視為一個(gè)類型,那么可以推斷,他也是使銀行遭受了重大的損失。因此,只有選項(xiàng)C最為符合題意。
2. Wall Street's new axiom—“the higher they fly, the bigger the parachute” means that _____.
[A] the higher the bankers' position, the bigger loss they will make
[B] the higher the bankers' position, the more influential their backstage bosses
[C] the higher the bankers' position, the safer they will be
[D] the higher the bankers' position, the more risks they will face
2. 華爾街的新公理——“飛得越高,降落傘就越大”指的是 _____。
[A] 銀行家地位越高,他們導(dǎo)致的損失就越大
[B] 銀行家地位越高,他們的后臺(tái)就越有影響力
[C] 銀行家地位越高,他們就越安全
[D] 銀行家地位越高,他們面臨的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)就越大
答案:D 難度系數(shù):☆☆
分析:推理題。第一段提到兩位高管因?yàn)槭广y行的資產(chǎn)賬面有巨大虧損而丟掉了工作,由此可以證明華爾街的新定理“飛得越高,降落傘就越大”。其實(shí)隱含的意思就是,飛得越高,那么你需要的安全保護(hù)設(shè)備就越高級(jí),也就是說(shuō),職位越高,那么所要面臨的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)也越大。因此,選項(xiàng)D最為符合題意。
3. Which one of the following statements is TRUE of CDOs?
[A] “Super-senior” and AAA-rated tranches of CDOs were affected the most.
[B] It was CDOs that played the major role of Citi's tremendous loss.
[C] The earlier expectation far exceeded the actual security of CDOs.
[D] CDOs led to the devaluation of many companies in banking industry.
3. 關(guān)于CDOs,下列哪項(xiàng)陳述是正確的?
[A] “資深”和3A級(jí)CDOs債券受到的影響最大。
[B] CDOs是使花旗銀行蒙受巨大損失的主要原因。
[C] 早期人們對(duì)于CDOs的預(yù)期遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過(guò)了其實(shí)際的安全程度。
[D] CDOs使得銀行業(yè)中的許多公司都貶值了。
答案:C 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:細(xì)節(jié)題。選項(xiàng)A,根據(jù)第二段,原本宣揚(yáng)抵押債務(wù)CDOs很安全,結(jié)果事實(shí)并非如此,連所謂的不會(huì)受影響的“資深”和3A級(jí)也受到了影響,但是文章并未說(shuō)明其受影響最大;B,第二段指出花旗銀行是CODs最大的發(fā)行者之一,它預(yù)測(cè)了可能的損失,但是并沒(méi)有提到損失最嚴(yán)重;C,由第二段可以看出,CDOs遠(yuǎn)沒(méi)有所宣稱的那么安全,因此沒(méi)有人們想象中的那么好。D,并非是CDOs導(dǎo)致它們貶值,而是整體的經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境導(dǎo)致了評(píng)級(jí)機(jī)構(gòu)進(jìn)行降級(jí)處理。因此,只有C的陳述是正確的。
4. The author thinks the special accounting provision for the hardest securities adopted by Wall Street firms and European banks _____.
[A] is mainly composed of various speculations
[B] is based on unreliable experience
[C] is a trick played around by educated accountants
[D] has big problems that threaten to swallow big companies' core capital
4. 作者認(rèn)為,華爾街的一些公司和歐洲的銀行為最堅(jiān)挺的證券采取的特殊會(huì)計(jì)條款 _____。
[A] 主要由各種投機(jī)買賣構(gòu)成
[B] 基于不可靠的經(jīng)驗(yàn)
[C] 是那些知識(shí)豐富的會(huì)計(jì)們玩弄的把戲
[D] 有很大的問(wèn)題,甚至可能侵吞大公司的核心資產(chǎn)
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:細(xì)節(jié)題。根據(jù)第四段,這些公司和銀行采取這樣的條款只是基于以往經(jīng)驗(yàn)的一種猜測(cè)而已,因此,選項(xiàng)A并不是作者想要表達(dá)的觀點(diǎn)。選項(xiàng)B是正確的,這些經(jīng)驗(yàn)是不可靠的,不一定適用。選項(xiàng)C,文章中并沒(méi)有提到這一點(diǎn)。選項(xiàng)D也是子虛烏有,在文中并沒(méi)有明確的依據(jù)。因此,正確答案為B。
5. By the abortion of the bid for J. Sainsbury, the author intends to imply that _____.
[A] foreign investment group has smelled the danger of investing in America
[B] the other business is also affected by the impact of American subprime mortgages event
[C] Europe's credit conditions are also facing great danger as affected by American subprime mortgages event
[D] credit conditions in Europe have also tightened
5. 通過(guò)放棄對(duì)J. Sainsbury的投標(biāo),作者想要說(shuō)明 _____。
[A] 外國(guó)投資集團(tuán)已經(jīng)嗅到了在美國(guó)投資的危險(xiǎn)
[B] 其他行業(yè)也受到了美國(guó)次貸事件的影響
[C] 歐洲的信貸條件因?yàn)槊绹?guó)的次貸風(fēng)波,也面臨著巨大的危險(xiǎn)
[D] 歐洲的信貸條件收緊了
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:推理題。最后一段提到,一個(gè)卡塔爾的投資集團(tuán)放棄了投標(biāo)這家連鎖超市,因此連所有權(quán)購(gòu)買這樣的業(yè)務(wù)都失去了生機(jī)。而最后一段要說(shuō)明的主要問(wèn)題是,更廣范圍的經(jīng)濟(jì)會(huì)遭受怎樣的打擊,而從這個(gè)事例可以看出,危機(jī)已經(jīng)從金融界蔓延到了其他領(lǐng)域。因此,選項(xiàng)B是正確的。
11月4日,Chuck Prince離開(kāi)了世界最大的銀行——花旗銀行的總裁辦公室。一個(gè)星期之前,Stan O'Neal丟掉了工作,因?yàn)樵谒念I(lǐng)導(dǎo)下,投資銀行美林銀行資產(chǎn)的賬面價(jià)值虧損了840億美元。不管你認(rèn)為華爾街新的公理(“飛得越高,降落傘就越大”)有多么的難以理解,一周內(nèi)這兩位美國(guó)最資深銀行家的離去就是最好的跡象。畢竟,審查是通往事實(shí)真相的一個(gè)步驟。在今天迷霧重重、多事之秋的銀行業(yè)里已經(jīng)沒(méi)有什么更讓人垂涎的資源了。伴隨這兩位銀行家離職的是對(duì)美國(guó)次貸方面更大的損失的披露,其程度要比花旗和美林幾周前公布的損失嚴(yán)重得多。而力圖保持誠(chéng)信的行動(dòng)也讓市場(chǎng)大吃一驚,因?yàn)檫@表明,銀行根本不能確保它們與次貸相關(guān)的資產(chǎn)保值,但是也不得不披露這些事實(shí)。
弄清事實(shí)是有困難的,因?yàn)槟壳肮嫉那闆r提出了更多的問(wèn)題而非提供了解決的方法。首先,銀行可以承受多少損失?最新的公告顯示,全新的信用工具組合,即抵押債務(wù)(CDOs)遠(yuǎn)沒(méi)有9月底所宣稱的那么安全。這包括宣稱不受影響的“資深”和3A級(jí)CDOs債券,它們的級(jí)別是前不久由世界各地的銀行、保險(xiǎn)公司和共同基金評(píng)定的。但由于上個(gè)月一些評(píng)級(jí)機(jī)構(gòu)的降級(jí)處理,一些債券的凈值和原來(lái)的價(jià)格相比大大縮水了。花旗是這類CDOs最大的發(fā)行者之一,本周它預(yù)測(cè),CDOs以及別的銀行其他資產(chǎn)的損失可能要達(dá)到640億美元,它自己可能出現(xiàn)的賬面損失也算在其中了。
其次,銀行有足夠的資金度過(guò)這次危機(jī)嗎?在一些機(jī)構(gòu)里,不斷增加的損失使得用于應(yīng)付危機(jī)時(shí)刻的資金也顯得捉襟見(jiàn)肘了。華爾街的公司和歐洲的銀行對(duì)于那些他們認(rèn)為最為堅(jiān)挺的證券運(yùn)用了特殊的會(huì)計(jì)條款,但這也只是基于憑以往經(jīng)驗(yàn)的猜測(cè)而已。在華爾街,這類證券的數(shù)量已經(jīng)飛速增加,如果它們變成零,那么大公司的主要資產(chǎn)就都會(huì)被一筆抹掉,這在目前是不可能的,但是已經(jīng)有人開(kāi)始這么想了。更為糟糕的是,債券保險(xiǎn)公司占有美國(guó)2.5萬(wàn)億的地方債券市場(chǎng),目前卻也深陷于CDOs的麻煩中。本周它們被告知有可能會(huì)失去3A評(píng)級(jí),除非其股東能夠提供更多的資金,這將給地方債券蒙上陰影。
第三,更廣意義上的經(jīng)濟(jì)會(huì)遭受什么程度的打擊?銀行的資金基礎(chǔ)越薄弱,就越難給公司和家庭提供貸款,由此,消費(fèi)者消費(fèi)和公司投資就都面臨風(fēng)險(xiǎn)了。有跡象表明,信用狀況的收緊已經(jīng)超出了房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的能力。本周的一項(xiàng)調(diào)查顯示,美國(guó)銀行已經(jīng)收緊了借貸標(biāo)準(zhǔn),從商業(yè)資產(chǎn)抵押貸款到商業(yè)和工業(yè)貸款都受到了影響。在歐洲,也實(shí)施了信貸緊縮政策。在英國(guó),一個(gè)卡塔爾支持的投資集團(tuán)放棄了J. Sainsbury(一家連鎖超市)的投標(biāo)就是最新的跡象——連購(gòu)買所有權(quán)的業(yè)務(wù)也失去了生機(jī)。