《考研英語閱讀理解100篇 高分版》 Unit 12 - TEXT THREE
《考研英語閱讀理解100篇 高分版》 Unit 12 - TEXT THREE
所屬教程:考研英語閱讀
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2019年02月09日
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He gave no steer on future interest rate decisions and no assessment of where he sees the economy going. Yet Ben Bernanke's speech at the Cato Institute in Washington, D.C., on November 14th may be judged as the one in which he stamped his mark on America's monetary policy.
The Federal Reserve's chief used his speech to unveil the central bank's new strategy for communicating with the public. In short, the Fed plans to talk more—and more often—about its assessment of the economic outlook. While the Fed is not about to join the band of central banks that are guided by an explicit goal for prices, it will borrow some of the inflation-targeters' clothes. More than one Fed-watcher dubbed the new public-relations policy “inflation targeting-lite”. Until now, the Fed has published two forecasts a year. Starting on November 20th it will publish projections once a quarter. The end-point for forecasts will be pushed out from two to three years hence. And alongside the forecasts will be a “narrative” that gives more detail on the differences on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Fed's rate-setting body.
Lengthening the forecasts from two to three years is more important than it sounds. Three-year forecasts should be untainted by transitory factors that blow the economy off course. As a result, they will say a lot about how quickly policymakers think the economy can grow and how low they believe the jobless rate can safely go. And since forecasts are conditional on an “appropriate” setting for monetary policy, the longer-term projections will reveal the inflation rate the FOMC is aiming for. If views diverge, then Fed-watchers will have not one but several inflation “targets” to focus on.
Ever the diplomat, Mr. Bernanke said that the new communications set-up is a “work in progress” and stressed it would not affect policy decisions. Yet his speech gives a clear sense of the kind of central bank he wants to run. The emphasis on providing a deeper insight into the spread of views on the FOMC signals a different approach from that of his predecessor, Alan Greenspan. Mr. Bernanke said allowing diverse views reduces the risk that one voice becomes “unduly dominant”.
Another theme is a more prominent role for explicit benchmarks. Mr. Bernanke acknowledged that his preference for an inflation target is not compatible with the Fed's “dual mandate”, which puts the goal of maximum employment on an equal footing with price stability. But he has nevertheless managed to find a way to get the Fed to be much clearer about its objectives. He acknowledged that one benefit of extending the Fed's forecasts for an extra year is that it will provide “an evaluation of certain long-run features of the economy”. And by agreeing to publish forecasts for headline inflation, as well as the less volatile core data, Mr. Bernanke has also addressed the growing perception that the Fed thinks fast-rising food and energy costs are not its problem.
This is an opportune time to make the Fed's policymaking more open. As Mr. Bernanke made clear, greater transparency will bolster the Fed's legitimacy and help preserve its independence. Since recent readings on inflation and activity are sending conflicting signals, the Fed will need an understanding and informed public if it is to make the right choices.
1. Which one of the following is NOT the change brought by the new strategy?
[A] Economic forecasts will be issued at a higher frequency.
[B] More details will be provided on economic outlook.
[C] The Fed's functions begin to resemble those of the central banks of other countries.
[D] It is of significant importance to lengthen the forecasting years.
2. The “inflation-targeters” (Line 4, Paragraph 2) refers to _____.
[A] Fed-watchers
[B] central banks
[C] the rate-setting body
[D] the public
3. The word “untainted” (Line 2, Paragraph 3) most probably means _____.
[A] affected
[B] uninfluenced
[C] unmarked
[D] guided
4. Compared with the approach of his predecessor, Mr. Bernanke's approach is more _____.
[A] complex
[B] democratic
[C] reasonable
[D] practical
5. The second theme of Mr. Bernanke's speech is that _____.
[A] the goal of price stability is not supposed to be of the same importance as that of maximum employment
[B] it is very important to set a clear standpoint
[C] the Fed should establish new ways to find better objects
[D] inflation target should be the main focus for the coming economic forecasts
1. Which one of the following is NOT the change brought by the new strategy?
[A] Economic forecasts will be issued at a higher frequency.
[B] More details will be provided on economic outlook.
[C] The Fed's functions begin to resemble those of the central banks of other countries.
[D] It is of significant importance to lengthen the forecasting years.
1. 下列哪個(gè)不是新政策帶來的變化?
[A] 經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)報(bào)的頻率會(huì)更高。
[B] 會(huì)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)前景給出更多的細(xì)節(jié)。
[C] 美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)的作用開始變得和其他國家的中央銀行相似。
[D] 延長預(yù)報(bào)年限具有重要的意義。
答案:C 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:細(xì)節(jié)題。選項(xiàng)A,第二段提到,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)要增加對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)前景進(jìn)行評(píng)論的數(shù)量和頻率,因此,該陳述正確。選項(xiàng)B也是正確的。選項(xiàng)C,第二段提到:“美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)不會(huì)加入明確以價(jià)格為目的的中央銀行群”,而文章中并沒有將其功能與其他國家中央銀行的功能進(jìn)行比較,因此,該陳述是錯(cuò)誤的。D,第二段提到了這一點(diǎn),后面幾段也反復(fù)提到了這點(diǎn)。因此,選項(xiàng)C為正確答案。
2. The “inflation-targeters” (Line 4, Paragraph 2) refers to _____.
[A] Fed-watchers
[B] central banks
[C] the rate-setting body
[D] the public
2. “以通脹為目標(biāo)的群體”(第二段第四行)指的是 _____。
[A] 聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備觀察員
[B] 中央銀行
[C] 利率設(shè)定機(jī)構(gòu)
[D] 公眾
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆☆
分析:推理題。根據(jù)上下文,本句為:“雖然美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)不會(huì)加入明確以價(jià)格為目的的中央銀行群,但打算借用這些以通脹為目標(biāo)的群體的外衣。”中央銀行群以通脹為目標(biāo),那么可以推斷出這里說的“以通脹為目標(biāo)的群體”就是中央銀行。因此,正確答案為B。
3. The word “untainted” (Line 2, Paragraph 3) most probably means _____.
[A] affected
[B] uninfluenced
[C] unmarked
[D] guided
3. untainted這個(gè)詞(第三段第二行)最有可能的意思是 _____。
[A] 受影響的
[B] 不受影響的
[C] 未被注意到的
[D] 指導(dǎo)的
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆
分析:猜詞題。根據(jù)上下文,將經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)報(bào)定為三年,因?yàn)槠谙扪娱L,就不會(huì)受到短期因素的影響。因此,選項(xiàng)B最為符合題意。
4. Compared with the approach of his predecessor, Mr. Bernanke's approach is more _____.
[A] complex
[B] democratic
[C] reasonable
[D] practical
4. 和他前任的方法相比,Bernanke的方法更為 _____。
[A] 復(fù)雜
[B] 民主
[C] 合理
[D] 實(shí)際
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:推理題。根據(jù)第四段,Bernanke的方法和其前任的不同之處就是:他強(qiáng)調(diào)允許有不同的觀點(diǎn)存在,因此,他的方法相對(duì)來說更為民主一些。選項(xiàng)B最為符合題意。
5. The second theme of Mr. Bernanke's speech is that _____.
[A] the goal of price stability is not supposed to be of the same importance as that of maximum employment
[B] it is very important to set a clear standpoint
[C] the Fed should establish new ways to find better objects
[D] inflation target should be the main focus for the coming economic forecasts
5. Bernanke先生演講的第二個(gè)主題為 _____。
[A] 價(jià)格穩(wěn)定的目標(biāo)不如就業(yè)最大化的目標(biāo)重要
[B] 確定清晰的立足點(diǎn)非常重要
[C] 美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)應(yīng)該建立尋找更好目標(biāo)的機(jī)制
[D] 對(duì)于以后的經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測來說,通脹目標(biāo)應(yīng)該是其主要的焦點(diǎn)
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:推理題。第五段提到了Bernanke先生提到的第二個(gè)主題,他認(rèn)為美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)應(yīng)當(dāng)給出更為明確的目標(biāo),而不是覺得最大程度的就業(yè)和價(jià)格穩(wěn)定一樣重要,因此,明確的基準(zhǔn)點(diǎn)很重要。選項(xiàng)B最為符合題意。而選項(xiàng)A是明顯錯(cuò)誤的。選項(xiàng)C和D都不是第二個(gè)主題的重點(diǎn)內(nèi)容。
Ben Bernanke沒有表示今后利率會(huì)如何調(diào)整變化,也沒有評(píng)論經(jīng)濟(jì)的走勢將會(huì)如何,但是,他于11月14日在華盛頓特區(qū)加圖學(xué)院的講話可以表明他對(duì)美國貨幣政策的看法。
通過這次演講,這位美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)主席透露了中央銀行和公眾交流的新政策。簡要地說,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)計(jì)劃增加對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)前景評(píng)論的數(shù)量和頻率。雖然美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)不會(huì)加入明確以價(jià)格為目的的中央銀行群,但打算借用這些以通脹為目標(biāo)的群體的外衣。不止一位美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)觀察員認(rèn)為,新的公眾關(guān)系策略是“以通貨膨脹為目的”。到目前為止,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)在一年內(nèi)已經(jīng)發(fā)布了兩次經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測。從11月20日起,它將于每季度發(fā)布一次經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測。而經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測的期限將從兩年推到三年。除了經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測外,還有關(guān)于聯(lián)邦開放市場委員會(huì)(美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)的利率設(shè)定機(jī)構(gòu))變化細(xì)節(jié)的陳述。
將經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測期限從兩年延長至三年,這比聽起來更重要。三年的經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測不受那些會(huì)使經(jīng)濟(jì)偏離軌道等短期因素的影響。因此,經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測將會(huì)更多地涉及決策者認(rèn)為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展會(huì)有多快、失業(yè)率能安全地降到多少的問題。而因?yàn)轭A(yù)測取決于貨幣政策是否“合理”,長期計(jì)劃可以表示聯(lián)邦開放市場委員會(huì)對(duì)于通貨膨脹率的目標(biāo)。如果意見有分歧,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)觀察員就不得不關(guān)注幾個(gè)通貨膨脹“目標(biāo)”,而不僅是一個(gè)目標(biāo)。
Bernanke先生曾經(jīng)擔(dān)任過大使,他說,建立新的交流是一項(xiàng)“正在進(jìn)行的工作”,并強(qiáng)調(diào)這不會(huì)影響政策的制定。但是他的講話闡明了他希望經(jīng)營怎樣的中央銀行。他強(qiáng)調(diào),要對(duì)聯(lián)邦開放市場委員會(huì)發(fā)表的意見有更為深刻的認(rèn)識(shí),這一點(diǎn)體現(xiàn)了他與其前任Alan Greenspan完全不同的策略。Bernanke先生說,允許有不同觀點(diǎn)存在可以減少一種聲音“過分獨(dú)裁”的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
另外一個(gè)主題是明確基準(zhǔn)點(diǎn)的重要性。Bernanke先生承認(rèn),他對(duì)通脹目標(biāo)的偏好與美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)的“雙重委任”有沖突,“雙重委任”把最大程度的就業(yè)和價(jià)格穩(wěn)定視為同等重要。但是他仍然希望找到一種方法,可以讓美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)更為明確自己的目標(biāo)。他認(rèn)為,將美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)預(yù)測延長一年的好處,就是可以提供“經(jīng)濟(jì)長期發(fā)展特征的評(píng)估”。Bernanke先生同意發(fā)布總通貨膨脹預(yù)測以及比較穩(wěn)定的核心數(shù)據(jù),他還提到,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)日漸認(rèn)識(shí)到,飛速上漲的食品和能源價(jià)格并不是它的問題。
這是使美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)政策的制定更為公開的一個(gè)契機(jī)。正如Bernanke先生所說,增加透明度可以支持美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)的合理性,并有助于保持其獨(dú)立性。因?yàn)榻鼇砣藗儗?duì)于通脹和行動(dòng)的看法有一些分歧,如果美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)要做出正確的抉擇,就需要有理解力的、消息靈通的公眾的支持。
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