IMF下調今年全球增長預期

The International Monetary Fund has projected the world economy will grow by 5.9% this year, while China's growth will moderate to 8%, both 0.1 of a percentage point lower than the IMF's July estimates.

國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)10月12日發(fā)布最新一期《世界經濟展望報告》，預計2021年全球經濟增長率為5.9%，較7月份預測值下調0.1個百分點。同時，IMF預計中國經濟今年將增長8%，也較7月份預測值下調0.1個百分點。

"The downward revision for 2021 reflects a downgrade for advanced economies - in part due to supply disruptions - and for low-income developing countries, largely due to worsening pandemic dynamics," the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook released on Tuesday.

報告指出，下調今年全球經濟增長預期，主要反映了發(fā)達經濟體在供應鏈中斷影響下增長放緩，以及低收入發(fā)展中經濟體因疫情形勢惡化導致經濟增幅收窄。

Fueled by the highly transmissible Delta variant, the recorded global COVID-19 death toll has risen close to 5 million, and health risks abound, holding back a full return to normalcy, IMF Economic Counsellor Gita Gopinath said.

IMF首席經濟學家吉塔·戈皮納特表示，德爾塔毒株肆虐，新冠病例死亡總人數逼近500萬，健康風險無處不在，成為橫在全面復蘇道路上的障礙。

"Pandemic outbreaks in critical links of global supply chains have resulted in longer than expected supply disruptions, feeding inflation in many countries," she continued.

與此同時，疫情多點暴發(fā)，殃及處于全球供應鏈關鍵環(huán)節(jié)的國家和地區(qū)，致使供應鏈紊亂長于此前預期，進一步抬高部分國家的通脹。