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5月份,捷克人的信心普遍停滯不前

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2020年05月27日

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Czech confidence broadly stagnated in May

5月份,捷克人的信心普遍停滯不前

Overall confidence in the Czech Republic improved slightly in May in comparison to April, mainly driven by higher consumer confidence but lowered by weaker confidence in the business sphere.

與4月份相比,5月份捷克共和國(guó)的總體信心略有改善,這主要是由于消費(fèi)者信心上升,但商業(yè)領(lǐng)域的信心下降。

Households confidence experienced the highest month on month increase, but it was not sufficient to compensate for the massive fall seen in the last two months.

美國(guó)家庭信心出現(xiàn)了月度最高增幅,但這不足以彌補(bǔ)過(guò)去兩個(gè)月的大幅下降。

Jakub Seidler

On the other hand, households concerns about price growth reached an all-time high in May, which might be unpleasant for the Czech central bank.

另一方面,家庭對(duì)物價(jià)上漲的擔(dān)憂在5月份達(dá)到了歷史最高水平,這可能會(huì)讓捷克央行感到不快。

But having said that, the recent price growth was mainly concentrated in food prices.

但話雖如此,最近的價(jià)格增長(zhǎng)主要集中在食品價(jià)格上。

In the business sphere, confidence fall again, mainly driven by the service sector, while industry indicated a very negligible increase.

在商業(yè)領(lǐng)域,信心再次下降,主要是受到服務(wù)業(yè)的推動(dòng),而工業(yè)的增長(zhǎng)微不足道。

However, weaker business confidence was driven down by the assessment of the current situation, while expectations for the next three months improved.

然而,對(duì)當(dāng)前形勢(shì)的評(píng)估降低了企業(yè)信心,同時(shí)對(duì)未來(lái)3個(gè)月的預(yù)期有所改善。

Almost 40% of companies expect to get back to the pre-Covid level in 3-6 month horizon, which seems quite optimistic now, as a 'V shape recovery is becoming a less likely scenario. From this perspective, June and July confidence indicators will be important of the potential recovery shape as May was still affected by movement restrictions, which to a large extent have ended today.

近40%的公司預(yù)計(jì)在3-6個(gè)月內(nèi)將恢復(fù)到以前的水平,這現(xiàn)在看來(lái)相當(dāng)樂(lè)觀,因?yàn)閂型復(fù)蘇的可能性正在降低。從這個(gè)角度來(lái)看,6月和7月的信心指數(shù)將對(duì)潛在的復(fù)蘇形態(tài)非常重要,因?yàn)?月仍受到移動(dòng)限制的影響,而移動(dòng)限制在很大程度上已于今天結(jié)束。


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