A recent sales study indicates that consumption of seafood dishes in Bay City restaurants has increased by 30 percent during the past five years. Yet there are no currently operating city restaurants whose specialty is seafood. Moreover, the majority of families in Bay City are two-income families, and a nationwide study has shown that such families eat significantly fewer home-cooked meals than they did a decade ago but at the same time express more concern about healthful eating. Therefore, the new Captain Seafood restaurant that specializes in seafood should be quite popular and profitable.
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
五問:
(1)“Therefore, the new Captain Seafood restaurant that specializes in seafood should be quite popular and profitable”是結(jié)論,其余部分是事實(shí),值得反駁嗎?
(2)原文提到,海鮮食品的消費(fèi)在過去五年間增長了 30%,但卻沒有提供比對(duì)對(duì)象來證明這 30%的增長率是可觀的(盡管這是一個(gè)看上去很不錯(cuò)的增長)。是否存在這樣的可能性:由于人口增長,其他食品的消費(fèi)量的增長甚至超過了 30%?另外,基于時(shí)間軸的論證方法是錯(cuò)誤的,過去增長并不意味著將來還會(huì)保持增長的趨勢。
(3)專門做海鮮的飯店,其海鮮菜品的質(zhì)量一定高于非海鮮飯店嗎?原文是否給出了足夠信息來證明這一點(diǎn)?用全國性的研究來定義當(dāng)?shù)氐奶刭|(zhì)是否合適?個(gè)體是否可能具備集體所不具備的特點(diǎn)?
(4)我們能否簡單地將海鮮與健康食物畫上等號(hào)?除了海鮮之外,健康食物還有哪些?你能具體地羅列一下嗎?例如,有機(jī)蔬菜及水果、蛋奶類制品是不是健康食物呢?
(5)利潤的決定因素有哪些?顧客量當(dāng)然是其中的一個(gè)因素,除此之外還有哪些因素可能會(huì)影響利潤?會(huì)從什么角度影響利潤額?例如:海鮮的價(jià)格高低、飯店的房租價(jià)格、人員的工資水平都會(huì)影響利潤。
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